Date: May 2, 1973

Time: 8:44 am – 9:25 am

Location: Oval Office

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The President met with Spiro T. Agnew, George P. Shultz, Herbert G. Stein, Arthur F. Burns,

Roy L. Ash, John T. Dunlop, and Kenneth R. Cole, Jr.

Greetings

Quadriad

-Intellect

-Burns

-President’s conversation with David Rockefeller, May 1

Economic Stabilization Act

-President’s signing statement

-Stein’s memorandum

Meeting format

-Briefing on national economy

-Stein

-Recommendations

-Dunlop, Shultz

Inflation

-Gross national product [GNP]

-Forecasts

-Profits and output

-Food

-Effect of weather

-Wage increases

-Consumer Price Index

-Farm products

-Effects of weather

-Decline in prices

-Retail food prices

-Department of Agriculture [USDA] reports

-Wholesale prices

-Wholesale Price Index

-Timing of release

-Farming

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-Field conditions

-Dryness

-Machinery

-Rain

-Cost of Living Council [COLC] meeting

-Donald A. Paarlberg’s remarks

-Corn crops

-Compared to wheat

-Wages

-Settlement

-Consumer Price Index

-Fiscal restraint

-Compared to monetary restraint

-Burns

Economic Stabilization Act

-May 3 decision

-Price control program

-Fiscal, monetary tightening

-Concern

-Prosperity

-18 months

-Phase III wage and price control program [Phase III]

-Pre-notification

-COLC

-30-day freeze

-Price increase compliance

-500 largest corporations

-1.5 percent price increase

-“Administrative device”

-Records retention by smaller companies

-Wage settlements

-Rubber industry

-General Electric

-Steel

-Meat packing industry

-Trucking industry

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-Automobile industry

-September

-Pre-notification

-Compared to past practice

-Price increase

-Justification

-Wage settlements

-Meat packing industry

-Collective bargaining agreement

-Iowa Beef

-Strike

-Willie J. Usery

-Extensions

-Effect on Armour-Swift negotiations

-Strike

-Usery

-Unions’ restraint

-Relative wages

-Impact of stabilization program, 1971-1973

-Compared to 1967-1970

-Industrial relations

-Steel industry

-International trade

Budget deficits

-Receipts estimate

-Announcement

-Compared to outlays

-Savings

-Legislation

-Medicare payments

-Interest on national debt

-Congress

-President’s budget proposal

-Defense Department budget

Economic Stabilization Act

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-Phase III

-Effect on prices, psychology

-Cost of administration

-Wage-and-price freeze

-Temporary effects

-Consequence

-Price increase

Fixed capital investment

-Growth and stagnation

-Possible recession

-Variable investment tax credit

-Purpose

-Congress

-Perception of tax increase

-Wilbur D. Mills’s opposition

-Conversation with Shultz

-Democrats

Ways and Means Committee

-Hearing schedule and topics

-Shultz’s testimony

-Trade, taxes

Variable investment tax credit

-Stein’s interview

-Possible proposal

-Burns’s, Shultz’s testimony to Ways and Means Committee

-Politics compared with economics

-Possible impact

-Ways and Means Committee’s schedule

-Mills

-Burns’s consultation with Mills

-Timing of legislation

-Restraint and stimulus

-Burns’s consultation with Mills

-Confidential talks

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-Speculation

-[Unintelligible name]

-Capital investment

-Tax credit

-Investment boom

-President’s assessment

Forthcoming statement on Phase III

-Preparation

-President’s role, Stein’s role

-Mildred Stein [?]

President’s schedule

-Labor-Management Advisory Committee meeting

-Wage agreements

-Steel industry

-Rubber industry

-I. W. Abel and R. Heath Larry

-Frank E. Fitzsimmons

-Contract

-National Commission of Industrial Peace

-George Meany

-Absence

-Florida

-David L. Cole

-Attendance

-National Commission for Industrial Peace

-Joint chairman

-Industrial peace

-Abel and Larry

-Steel pact

-Schedule

-Department of the Treasury

-President’s arrival

-Duration

-Progress of group

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President’s conversation with Willy Brandt

-Great Britain

-Underemployment

-England compared with Japan, Germany

-Labor problem

-Union solidarity, strength

-Compared to US

Edward R. G. Heath

-Leadership

-Popularity

-People

-Unions

Great Britain

-US interests

Phase III

-Dunlop’s briefing

National economy

-Boom and inflation

-Compared to recession and inflation prior to August 15, 1971

-Goals of actions

-Employment figures

Trustworthiness

President’s schedule

-Possible Quadriad meeting

Agnew et al. left at 9:25 am.

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